Wednesday, March 01, 2006

81% chance of one major coastal Hurricane in 2006

The 2006 forecast calls for:

* 17 named tropical storms; an average season has 9.6.
* 9 hurricanes compared to the average of 5.9.
* 5 major hurricanes with winds exceeding 110 mph; average is 2.3.

Though these statistical predictions cannot portend when any of the storms will form or where they will go, Klotzbach, Gray and colleagues calculate an 81 percent chance that at least one major hurricane will hit the U.S. coast in 2006.

How the 2006 forecast compares:

As we can see, the 2006 is forecast to be better than 2005 although much higher than average .



SOURCES: CSU, NOAA

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